My choice would be either Shelah or Voisin.
Probably that’s why you are not asked to actually choose!
Going by past winners, there's at least a 50% chance that the Abel winner this year has already won the Wolf Prize.
2021 Lovasz. Wolf Prize 1999
2020 Margulis & Furstenburg. Wolf Prize 2005 and 2007 respectively.
2018 Langlands. Wolf Prize 1996
2016 Wiles. Wolf Prize 1996
2014 Sinai. Wolf Prize 1997
2013 Deligne. Wolf Prize 2008
etc
Some Wolf Prize winners who have not yet won the Abel include Fefferman, Drinfeld, Sarnak, S-T Yau, Artin, Stein.
Also, for instance, Shelah.
Going by past winners, there's at least a 50% chance that the Abel winner this year has already won the Wolf Prize.
2021 Lovasz. Wolf Prize 1999
2020 Margulis & Furstenburg. Wolf Prize 2005 and 2007 respectively.
2018 Langlands. Wolf Prize 1996
2016 Wiles. Wolf Prize 1996
2014 Sinai. Wolf Prize 1997
2013 Deligne. Wolf Prize 2008
etc
Some Wolf Prize winners who have not yet won the Abel include Fefferman, Drinfeld, Sarnak, S-T Yau, Artin, Stein.
Stein is unfortunately deceased, so I don't think he'll be winning any time soon.
Hopkins
No, try again
Citation: Hopkins for a sequence of amazingly strong recommendation letters for lemons. His letter for Biss still stands out as a masterclass in the genre given that 1. the results were all wrong and 2. Hopkins clearly didn't bother reading it.
[...]No, try again
Citation: Hopkins for a sequence of amazingly strong recommendation letters for lemons. His letter for Biss still stands out as a masterclass in the genre given that 1. the results were all wrong and 2. Hopkins clearly didn't bother reading it.
Aren't there a lot of strong Hopkins students that aren't lemons?
[...]Citation: Hopkins for a sequence of amazingly strong recommendation letters for lemons. His letter for Biss still stands out as a masterclass in the genre given that 1. the results were all wrong and 2. Hopkins clearly didn't bother reading it.
Aren't there a lot of strong Hopkins students that aren't lemons?
No, by definition.
Let's start with the question, in which field?
Last year it was dynamicial systems/geometry, 2021 was combinatorics, 2020 was probability, 2019 was PDE. Next week will probably be number theory/algebraic geometry. And as some posters already said, Drinfeld has the biggest chance.
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